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S&P Global (SPGI) in our theses

S&P Global appears in one of our theses. Below is why it entered the basket and how it has done since publication.

Theses holding it
1
Average return
+3.2%
since publication
Last price
431.29 USD
August 22, 2026
Live August 19, 2026 · macro · edge 50

Bond markets buckle under AI's funding needs, and the toll is collected per deal by the ratings oligopoly

AI capex is now pre-committed and debt-funded, so higher yields raise the price of borrowing but not the volume, and ratings fees are levied on volume.

Why this company: The Ratings segment is the largest single rater of US investment grade supply. A record calendar of technology, utility and infrastructure issuance funding data centers flows directly into transaction revenue.

SPGI since this thesis was published: +3.2% · whole basket +2.2%

Where these numbers come from

The reference price is recorded on the thesis publication date and never changed afterwards. The current price is refreshed several times a day. Returns are in the listing currency and exclude dividends, so for dividend payers the real total return was somewhat higher.

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell. A company enters a basket as a beneficiary of the mechanism described in the thesis, and the full argument is on each thesis page.

See all of our theses

Each with a publication date, a causal map and a score assigned before the market ruled.

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