What is New Peoples Bankshares Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on New Peoples Bankshares Inc's reported free cash flow gives $11.25 per share. The share price was $4.90 on September 25, 2026, 56% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -2.5% | 10.0% | $8.34 | +70% |
| Base | 2.5% | 9.0% | $11.25 | +130% |
| Bull | 7.5% | 8.0% | $16.91 | +245% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $13.29 | $13.91 | $14.66 | $15.60 | $16.81 |
| 8.0% | $11.77 | $12.17 | $12.65 | $13.21 | $13.91 |
| 9.0% | $10.66 | $10.93 | $11.25 | $11.62 | $12.05 |
| 10.0% | $9.81 | $10.01 | $10.23 | $10.48 | $10.77 |
| 11.0% | $9.14 | $9.28 | $9.44 | $9.62 | $9.83 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at New Peoples Bankshares Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (2.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions