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DCF valuation

What is Zebra Technologies Corp worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Zebra Technologies Corp's reported free cash flow gives $235.10 per share. The share price was $319.80 on November 10, 2026, 36% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$831M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$623.4M
Cash
$182M
balance sheet of October 3, 2026
Debt
$2.58B
balance sheet of October 3, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
51,212,395
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
3.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-1.0%0.5%2.0%10.0%$127.62-60%
Base4.0%3.5%2.5%9.0%$235.10-26%
Bull9.0%6.0%3.0%8.0%$435.78+36%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$311.51$334.70$363.04$398.47$444.01
8.0%$254.59$269.63$287.40$308.73$334.80
9.0%$212.95$223.24$235.10$248.94$265.30
10.0%$181.19$188.50$196.79$206.26$217.19
11.0%$156.18$161.54$167.53$174.27$181.91

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Zebra Technologies Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Zebra Technologies Corp company page