What is Urban Edge Properties worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Urban Edge Properties's reported free cash flow gives $14.16 per share. The share price was $19.90 on September 25, 2026, 41% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 2.5% | 10.0% | $8.98 | -55% |
| Base | 7.5% | 9.0% | $14.16 | -29% |
| Bull | 12.5% | 8.0% | $24.47 | +23% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $18.00 | $19.18 | $20.62 | $22.42 | $24.73 |
| 8.0% | $15.13 | $15.89 | $16.80 | $17.88 | $19.20 |
| 9.0% | $13.03 | $13.55 | $14.16 | $14.86 | $15.69 |
| 10.0% | $11.43 | $11.81 | $12.23 | $12.71 | $13.26 |
| 11.0% | $10.18 | $10.45 | $10.76 | $11.10 | $11.49 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Urban Edge Properties's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions