What is Twin Disc Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Twin Disc Inc's reported free cash flow gives $16.30 per share. The share price was $24.19 on November 10, 2026, 48% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 7.0% | 10.0% | $9.77 | -60% |
| Base | 12.0% | 9.0% | $16.30 | -33% |
| Bull | 17.0% | 8.0% | $29.32 | +21% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $21.28 | $22.82 | $24.70 | $27.06 | $30.08 |
| 8.0% | $17.55 | $18.55 | $19.73 | $21.15 | $22.88 |
| 9.0% | $14.83 | $15.52 | $16.30 | $17.22 | $18.31 |
| 10.0% | $12.77 | $13.26 | $13.81 | $14.43 | $15.16 |
| 11.0% | $11.15 | $11.51 | $11.90 | $12.35 | $12.86 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Twin Disc Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (11.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions