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DCF valuation

What is TerrAscend Corp. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on TerrAscend Corp.'s reported free cash flow gives $0.73 per share. The share price was $0.61 on September 28, 2026, 17% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$12.9M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
-$14.2M
Cash
$42M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$209.7M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
301,083,354
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
13.4%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear8.5%5.5%2.0%10.0%$0.24-61%
Base13.5%8.0%2.5%9.0%$0.73+20%
Bull18.5%11.0%3.0%8.0%$1.71+180%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$1.11$1.23$1.37$1.55$1.78
8.0%$0.83$0.90$0.99$1.10$1.23
9.0%$0.62$0.67$0.73$0.80$0.88
10.0%$0.46$0.50$0.54$0.59$0.65
11.0%$0.34$0.37$0.40$0.43$0.47

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at TerrAscend Corp.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (13.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

TerrAscend Corp. company page