What is Trimas Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Trimas Corp's reported free cash flow gives $39.44 per share. The share price was $39.15 on September 25, 2026, 1% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -8.5% | 10.0% | $32.71 | -16% |
| Base | -3.5% | 9.0% | $39.44 | +1% |
| Bull | 1.5% | 8.0% | $52.81 | +35% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $44.07 | $45.43 | $47.10 | $49.19 | $51.88 |
| 8.0% | $40.65 | $41.53 | $42.58 | $43.84 | $45.38 |
| 9.0% | $38.13 | $38.74 | $39.44 | $40.25 | $41.22 |
| 10.0% | $36.20 | $36.63 | $37.12 | $37.68 | $38.33 |
| 11.0% | $34.67 | $34.99 | $35.34 | $35.74 | $36.19 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Trimas Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-3.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions