What is Starwood Real Estate Income Trust, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Starwood Real Estate Income Trust, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$15.41 per share. The share price was $0.13 on December 30, 2025, 101% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | -$21.02 | -16,269% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | -$15.41 | -11,951% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | -$4.95 | -3,911% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | -$11.16 | -$9.83 | -$8.21 | -$6.19 | -$3.58 |
| 8.0% | -$14.35 | -$13.49 | -$12.47 | -$11.26 | -$9.77 |
| 9.0% | -$16.67 | -$16.08 | -$15.41 | -$14.62 | -$13.68 |
| 10.0% | -$18.43 | -$18.01 | -$17.54 | -$17.00 | -$16.38 |
| 11.0% | -$19.81 | -$19.50 | -$19.16 | -$18.78 | -$18.34 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Starwood Real Estate Income Trust, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (39.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions