What is Volato Group, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Volato Group, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $7.61 per share. The share price was $0.35 on September 28, 2026, 95% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -10.0% | 10.0% | $4.83 | +1,271% |
| Base | -5.0% | 9.0% | $7.61 | +2,060% |
| Bull | 0.0% | 8.0% | $12.80 | +3,532% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $9.46 | $10.01 | $10.67 | $11.50 | $12.57 |
| 8.0% | $8.10 | $8.45 | $8.87 | $9.37 | $9.98 |
| 9.0% | $7.09 | $7.33 | $7.61 | $7.94 | $8.32 |
| 10.0% | $6.32 | $6.49 | $6.69 | $6.91 | $7.16 |
| 11.0% | $5.71 | $5.83 | $5.97 | $6.13 | $6.31 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Volato Group, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 3 fiscal years (-6.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions