What is Seneca Foods Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Seneca Foods Corp's reported free cash flow gives $681.07 per share. The share price was $182.53 on September 28, 2026, 73% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -2.0% | 10.0% | $415.28 | +128% |
| Base | 3.0% | 9.0% | $681.07 | +273% |
| Bull | 8.0% | 8.0% | $1,177.38 | +545% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $868.78 | $925.58 | $995.01 | $1,081.78 | $1,193.35 |
| 8.0% | $729.09 | $765.93 | $809.46 | $861.69 | $925.54 |
| 9.0% | $626.82 | $652.01 | $681.07 | $714.97 | $755.04 |
| 10.0% | $548.76 | $566.67 | $586.97 | $610.17 | $636.93 |
| 11.0% | $487.25 | $500.38 | $515.06 | $531.56 | $550.27 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Seneca Foods Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 6 fiscal years (2.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions