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DCF valuation

What is SpringBig Holdings, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on SpringBig Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$0.11 per share. The share price was $0.02 on September 28, 2026, 116% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$321K
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
-$5.6M
Cash
$300K
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$9.8M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
47,395,669
Revenue growth per year, last 4 years
-0.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-5.5%-2.0%2.0%10.0%-$0.14-895%
Base-0.5%1.0%2.5%9.0%-$0.11-710%
Bull4.5%4.0%3.0%8.0%-$0.05-351%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%-$0.09-$0.08-$0.07-$0.06-$0.05
8.0%-$0.10-$0.10-$0.09-$0.09-$0.08
9.0%-$0.12-$0.11-$0.11-$0.11-$0.10
10.0%-$0.13-$0.12-$0.12-$0.12-$0.12
11.0%-$0.13-$0.13-$0.13-$0.13-$0.13

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at SpringBig Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (-0.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

SpringBig Holdings, Inc. company page