What is Rockwell Automation, Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Rockwell Automation, Inc's reported free cash flow gives $207.56 per share. The share price was $434.15 on September 25, 2026, 109% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.5% | 10.0% | $123.06 | -72% |
| Base | 5.5% | 9.0% | $207.56 | -52% |
| Bull | 10.5% | 8.0% | $376.02 | -13% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $269.58 | $288.46 | $311.54 | $340.38 | $377.47 |
| 8.0% | $223.34 | $235.58 | $250.05 | $267.42 | $288.64 |
| 9.0% | $189.53 | $197.90 | $207.56 | $218.83 | $232.15 |
| 10.0% | $163.76 | $169.71 | $176.46 | $184.17 | $193.07 |
| 11.0% | $143.48 | $147.84 | $152.72 | $158.21 | $164.43 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Rockwell Automation, Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (5.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions