What is RBC Bearings INC worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on RBC Bearings INC's reported free cash flow gives $336.26 per share. The share price was $506.10 on September 25, 2026, 51% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $195.86 | -61% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $336.26 | -34% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $597.70 | +18% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $442.56 | $475.71 | $516.22 | $566.86 | $631.97 |
| 8.0% | $362.71 | $384.20 | $409.61 | $440.09 | $477.35 |
| 9.0% | $304.61 | $319.30 | $336.26 | $356.04 | $379.43 |
| 10.0% | $260.55 | $271.00 | $282.85 | $296.38 | $312.00 |
| 11.0% | $226.08 | $233.74 | $242.30 | $251.94 | $262.86 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at RBC Bearings INC's revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (18.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions