What is Park Aerospace Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Park Aerospace Corp's reported free cash flow gives $15.20 per share. The share price was $30.11 on September 25, 2026, 98% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 4.5% | 10.0% | $10.97 | -64% |
| Base | 9.5% | 9.0% | $15.20 | -50% |
| Bull | 14.5% | 8.0% | $23.64 | -21% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $18.38 | $19.36 | $20.56 | $22.06 | $23.98 |
| 8.0% | $16.00 | $16.64 | $17.39 | $18.29 | $19.39 |
| 9.0% | $14.26 | $14.70 | $15.20 | $15.78 | $16.47 |
| 10.0% | $12.94 | $13.25 | $13.60 | $14.00 | $14.46 |
| 11.0% | $11.90 | $12.13 | $12.38 | $12.67 | $12.99 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Park Aerospace Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (9.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions