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DCF valuation

What is Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$1.46 per share. The share price was $16.28 on November 10, 2026, 1,217% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$102M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$114.4M
Cash
$295M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$3.96B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
199,000,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
24.4%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%-$8.10-150%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%-$1.46-109%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$10.92-33%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$3.57$5.14$7.06$9.46$12.54
8.0%-$0.21$0.81$2.01$3.46$5.22
9.0%-$2.96-$2.26-$1.46-$0.52$0.59
10.0%-$5.04-$4.55-$3.99-$3.34-$2.61
11.0%-$6.67-$6.31-$5.90-$5.45-$4.93

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (24.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. company page