What is Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$1.50 per share. The share price was $15.43 on September 25, 2026, 1,130% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | -$8.14 | -153% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | -$1.50 | -110% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $10.88 | -30% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $3.53 | $5.10 | $7.02 | $9.42 | $12.50 |
| 8.0% | -$0.25 | $0.77 | $1.97 | $3.42 | $5.18 |
| 9.0% | -$3.00 | -$2.30 | -$1.50 | -$0.56 | $0.55 |
| 10.0% | -$5.08 | -$4.59 | -$4.03 | -$3.38 | -$2.65 |
| 11.0% | -$6.71 | -$6.35 | -$5.94 | -$5.49 | -$4.97 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (24.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions