What is Phinia Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Phinia Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $59.03 per share. The share price was $70.84 on November 10, 2026, 20% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -3.0% | 10.0% | $31.66 | -55% |
| Base | 2.0% | 9.0% | $59.03 | -17% |
| Bull | 7.0% | 8.0% | $110.14 | +55% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $78.23 | $84.02 | $91.10 | $99.95 | $111.33 |
| 8.0% | $63.95 | $67.71 | $72.15 | $77.48 | $83.99 |
| 9.0% | $53.50 | $56.06 | $59.03 | $62.48 | $66.57 |
| 10.0% | $45.51 | $47.34 | $49.41 | $51.77 | $54.50 |
| 11.0% | $39.21 | $40.55 | $42.05 | $43.73 | $45.64 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Phinia Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (1.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions