What is Phinia Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Phinia Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $57.41 per share. The share price was $62.04 on September 25, 2026, 8% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -3.0% | 10.0% | $30.04 | -52% |
| Base | 2.0% | 9.0% | $57.41 | -7% |
| Bull | 7.0% | 8.0% | $108.52 | +75% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $76.61 | $82.40 | $89.48 | $98.33 | $109.70 |
| 8.0% | $62.33 | $66.09 | $70.53 | $75.85 | $82.36 |
| 9.0% | $51.88 | $54.44 | $57.41 | $60.86 | $64.95 |
| 10.0% | $43.89 | $45.71 | $47.78 | $50.15 | $52.88 |
| 11.0% | $37.59 | $38.93 | $40.42 | $42.11 | $44.02 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Phinia Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (1.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions