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DCF valuation

What is PROCTER & GAMBLE Co worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on PROCTER & GAMBLE Co's reported free cash flow gives $90.61 per share. The share price was $146.23 on September 25, 2026, 61% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$15.15B
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$14.61B
Cash
$9.94B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$29.3B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
2,422,500,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
2.7%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-2.5%-0.5%2.0%10.0%$53.30-64%
Base2.5%2.5%2.5%9.0%$90.61-38%
Bull7.5%5.5%3.0%8.0%$163.27+12%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$116.84$124.76$134.43$146.52$162.07
8.0%$97.34$102.47$108.54$115.82$124.71
9.0%$83.05$86.56$90.61$95.33$100.92
10.0%$72.14$74.63$77.46$80.69$84.43
11.0%$63.53$65.36$67.41$69.71$72.32

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at PROCTER & GAMBLE Co's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (2.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

PROCTER & GAMBLE Co company page