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Stocks NYT DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is New York Times Co worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on New York Times Co's reported free cash flow gives $80.81 per share. The share price was $71.03 on November 10, 2026, 12% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$550.5M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$323.6M
Cash
$221.3M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
164,943,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
9.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear4.5%3.5%2.0%10.0%$50.77-29%
Base9.5%6.0%2.5%9.0%$80.81+14%
Bull14.5%9.0%3.0%8.0%$140.71+98%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$103.41$110.36$118.86$129.49$143.15
8.0%$86.50$91.01$96.34$102.74$110.55
9.0%$74.17$77.25$80.81$84.96$89.87
10.0%$64.79$66.98$69.47$72.31$75.58
11.0%$57.43$59.04$60.83$62.85$65.14

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at New York Times Co's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (9.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

New York Times Co company page