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DCF valuation

What is News Corp worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on News Corp's reported free cash flow gives $19.36 per share. The share price was $32.24 on September 28, 2026, 67% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$811M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$744.6M
Cash
$2.1B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$1.99B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
558,400,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-0.7%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-5.5%-2.0%2.0%10.0%$12.20-62%
Base-0.5%1.0%2.5%9.0%$19.36-40%
Bull4.5%4.0%3.0%8.0%$33.29+3%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$24.29$25.76$27.56$29.81$32.70
8.0%$20.63$21.59$22.72$24.07$25.73
9.0%$17.95$18.61$19.36$20.24$21.28
10.0%$15.90$16.37$16.89$17.49$18.19
11.0%$14.28$14.62$15.00$15.43$15.91

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at News Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-0.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

News Corp company page