What is Nobility Homes Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Nobility Homes Inc's reported free cash flow gives $26.52 per share. The share price was $27.50 on September 28, 2026, 4% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.0% | 10.0% | $17.94 | -35% |
| Base | 5.0% | 9.0% | $26.52 | -4% |
| Bull | 10.0% | 8.0% | $42.54 | +55% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $32.66 | $34.53 | $36.81 | $39.66 | $43.33 |
| 8.0% | $28.08 | $29.29 | $30.73 | $32.44 | $34.54 |
| 9.0% | $24.74 | $25.56 | $26.52 | $27.64 | $28.95 |
| 10.0% | $22.19 | $22.77 | $23.44 | $24.21 | $25.09 |
| 11.0% | $20.18 | $20.61 | $21.09 | $21.64 | $22.25 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Nobility Homes Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions