What is Jack IN The Box Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Jack IN The Box Inc's reported free cash flow gives $6.53 per share. The share price was $13.46 on September 25, 2026, 106% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 2.5% | 10.0% | -$24.46 | -282% |
| Base | 7.5% | 9.0% | $6.53 | -51% |
| Bull | 12.5% | 8.0% | $68.31 | +408% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $29.56 | $36.61 | $45.23 | $56.00 | $69.85 |
| 8.0% | $12.36 | $16.93 | $22.33 | $28.82 | $36.74 |
| 9.0% | -$0.20 | $2.92 | $6.53 | $10.74 | $15.71 |
| 10.0% | -$9.77 | -$7.55 | -$5.03 | -$2.15 | $1.18 |
| 11.0% | -$17.29 | -$15.66 | -$13.83 | -$11.78 | -$9.46 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Jack IN The Box Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions