What is Innovative Solutions & Support Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Innovative Solutions & Support Inc's reported free cash flow gives $10.13 per share. The share price was $24.78 on August 17, 2026, 145% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $5.19 | -79% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $10.13 | -59% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $19.32 | -22% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $13.87 | $15.03 | $16.46 | $18.24 | $20.53 |
| 8.0% | $11.06 | $11.81 | $12.71 | $13.78 | $15.09 |
| 9.0% | $9.01 | $9.53 | $10.13 | $10.82 | $11.65 |
| 10.0% | $7.47 | $7.83 | $8.25 | $8.73 | $9.27 |
| 11.0% | $6.25 | $6.52 | $6.82 | $7.16 | $7.55 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Innovative Solutions & Support Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (31.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions