Invesaro

Stocks HQY DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Healthequity, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Healthequity, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $139.81 per share. The share price was $88.25 on September 25, 2026, 37% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$455.1M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$262.7M
Cash
$256M
balance sheet of July 31, 2026
Debt
$931.1M
balance sheet of July 31, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
87,473,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
12.4%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear7.5%5.0%2.0%10.0%$83.65-5%
Base12.5%7.5%2.5%9.0%$139.81+58%
Bull17.5%10.5%3.0%8.0%$251.70+185%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$182.77$196.08$212.35$232.69$258.84
8.0%$150.56$159.19$169.40$181.64$196.60
9.0%$127.10$133.00$139.81$147.76$157.15
10.0%$109.28$113.48$118.23$123.67$129.94
11.0%$95.32$98.40$101.83$105.70$110.09

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Healthequity, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (12.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Healthequity, Inc. company page