What is Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc's reported free cash flow gives -$6.89 per share. The share price was $9.10 on September 25, 2026, 232% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.5% | 10.0% | -$8.68 | -195% |
| Base | 3.5% | 9.0% | -$6.89 | -176% |
| Bull | 8.5% | 8.0% | -$3.32 | -137% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | -$5.60 | -$5.20 | -$4.72 | -$4.12 | -$3.35 |
| 8.0% | -$6.56 | -$6.31 | -$6.01 | -$5.64 | -$5.20 |
| 9.0% | -$7.27 | -$7.09 | -$6.89 | -$6.66 | -$6.38 |
| 10.0% | -$7.81 | -$7.68 | -$7.54 | -$7.38 | -$7.20 |
| 11.0% | -$8.23 | -$8.14 | -$8.04 | -$7.93 | -$7.80 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions