What is Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd's reported free cash flow gives $2.88 per share. The share price was $26.09 on September 25, 2026, 807% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -6.0% | 10.0% | -$0.31 | -101% |
| Base | -1.0% | 9.0% | $2.88 | -89% |
| Bull | 4.0% | 8.0% | $8.83 | -66% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $5.07 | $5.72 | $6.52 | $7.52 | $8.81 |
| 8.0% | $3.44 | $3.87 | $4.37 | $4.97 | $5.71 |
| 9.0% | $2.25 | $2.54 | $2.88 | $3.27 | $3.73 |
| 10.0% | $1.34 | $1.55 | $1.78 | $2.05 | $2.35 |
| 11.0% | $0.62 | $0.77 | $0.94 | $1.13 | $1.34 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-0.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions