What is Brown & Brown, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Brown & Brown, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $124.60 per share. The share price was $70.08 on November 10, 2026, 44% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $67.36 | -4% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $124.60 | +78% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $231.19 | +230% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $167.94 | $181.45 | $197.97 | $218.62 | $245.16 |
| 8.0% | $135.38 | $144.15 | $154.50 | $166.93 | $182.12 |
| 9.0% | $111.70 | $117.69 | $124.60 | $132.67 | $142.20 |
| 10.0% | $93.73 | $98.00 | $102.82 | $108.34 | $114.71 |
| 11.0% | $79.68 | $82.80 | $86.30 | $90.22 | $94.67 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Brown & Brown, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (17.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions