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What is Bank of New York Mellon Corp worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Bank of New York Mellon Corp's reported free cash flow gives $96.05 per share. The share price was $151.23 on November 10, 2026, 57% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$5.18B
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$4.89B
Cash
$6.74B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$33.31B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
716,718,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
4.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear0.0%1.0%2.0%10.0%$45.11-70%
Base5.0%4.0%2.5%9.0%$96.05-36%
Bull10.0%6.5%3.0%8.0%$191.14+26%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$132.49$143.58$157.14$174.09$195.88
8.0%$105.32$112.51$121.01$131.22$143.68
9.0%$85.45$90.37$96.05$102.67$110.49
10.0%$70.31$73.80$77.77$82.30$87.53
11.0%$58.39$60.95$63.82$67.04$70.70

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Bank of New York Mellon Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Bank of New York Mellon Corp company page