What is Addus HomeCare Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Addus HomeCare Corp's reported free cash flow gives $170.28 per share. The share price was $126.29 on November 10, 2026, 26% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 8.0% | 10.0% | $105.34 | -17% |
| Base | 13.0% | 9.0% | $170.28 | +35% |
| Bull | 18.0% | 8.0% | $291.29 | +131% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $218.94 | $234.05 | $252.52 | $275.60 | $305.28 |
| 8.0% | $182.43 | $192.23 | $203.81 | $217.71 | $234.69 |
| 9.0% | $155.85 | $162.55 | $170.28 | $179.30 | $189.95 |
| 10.0% | $135.67 | $140.44 | $145.83 | $152.01 | $159.13 |
| 11.0% | $119.87 | $123.36 | $127.26 | $131.66 | $136.63 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Addus HomeCare Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (13.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions