What is Addus HomeCare Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Addus HomeCare Corp's reported free cash flow gives $168.18 per share. The share price was $113.19 on September 25, 2026, 33% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 8.0% | 10.0% | $103.24 | -9% |
| Base | 13.0% | 9.0% | $168.18 | +49% |
| Bull | 18.0% | 8.0% | $289.19 | +155% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $216.84 | $231.95 | $250.42 | $273.50 | $303.18 |
| 8.0% | $180.33 | $190.13 | $201.71 | $215.61 | $232.59 |
| 9.0% | $153.75 | $160.45 | $168.18 | $177.20 | $187.86 |
| 10.0% | $133.57 | $138.34 | $143.74 | $149.91 | $157.03 |
| 11.0% | $117.77 | $121.26 | $125.17 | $129.56 | $134.53 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Addus HomeCare Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (13.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions