What is Adient plc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Adient plc's reported free cash flow gives $22.60 per share. The share price was $17.63 on September 25, 2026, 22% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -2.0% | 10.0% | $7.32 | -58% |
| Base | 3.0% | 9.0% | $22.60 | +28% |
| Bull | 8.0% | 8.0% | $51.15 | +190% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $33.40 | $36.67 | $40.66 | $45.65 | $52.07 |
| 8.0% | $25.37 | $27.48 | $29.99 | $32.99 | $36.66 |
| 9.0% | $19.48 | $20.93 | $22.60 | $24.55 | $26.86 |
| 10.0% | $15.00 | $16.03 | $17.19 | $18.53 | $20.07 |
| 11.0% | $11.46 | $12.21 | $13.06 | $14.01 | $15.08 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Adient plc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (2.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions