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What is Autoscope Technologies Corp worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Autoscope Technologies Corp's reported free cash flow gives $1.42 per share. The share price was $5.75 on September 28, 2026, 304% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2021
$475K
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$1.8M
Cash
$3.4M
balance sheet of September 30, 2022
Debt
$1.7M
balance sheet of September 30, 2022
Diluted shares, fiscal 2021
5,358,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-1.3%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-6.5%-2.0%2.0%10.0%$1.02-82%
Base-1.5%0.5%2.5%9.0%$1.42-75%
Bull3.5%3.5%3.0%8.0%$2.22-61%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$1.70$1.79$1.89$2.02$2.18
8.0%$1.50$1.55$1.61$1.69$1.78
9.0%$1.34$1.38$1.42$1.47$1.53
10.0%$1.23$1.25$1.28$1.32$1.36
11.0%$1.14$1.15$1.18$1.20$1.23

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Autoscope Technologies Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-1.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Autoscope Technologies Corp company page