What is Atlantic American Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Atlantic American Corp's reported free cash flow gives $4.58 per share. The share price was $1.36 on September 25, 2026, 70% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -6.0% | 10.0% | $3.50 | +158% |
| Base | -1.0% | 9.0% | $4.58 | +237% |
| Bull | 4.0% | 8.0% | $6.60 | +385% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $5.33 | $5.55 | $5.82 | $6.16 | $6.59 |
| 8.0% | $4.78 | $4.92 | $5.09 | $5.29 | $5.54 |
| 9.0% | $4.37 | $4.47 | $4.58 | $4.72 | $4.87 |
| 10.0% | $4.06 | $4.13 | $4.21 | $4.30 | $4.41 |
| 11.0% | $3.82 | $3.87 | $3.93 | $3.99 | $4.06 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Atlantic American Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-1.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions