Companies / AA
NYSEAlcoa Corporation (AA) in our theses
Alcoa Corporation appears in one of our theses. Below is why it entered the basket and how it has done since publication.
Aluminum in an Energy Trap: China Hits Its Capacity Ceiling and the West Cannot Afford Power for New Smelters
China's 45 Mt statutory cap and expensive Western electricity freeze aluminum supply growth while grid, solar, and defense demand surges—widening margins for existing low-cost smelters.
Why this company: Integrated value chain from bauxite mining to alumina refining and smelting. Pure exposure to metal prices; high operating leverage ensures rising LME prices and regional physical premiums flow directly into earnings.
Where these numbers come from
The reference price is recorded on the thesis publication date and never changed afterwards. The current price is refreshed several times a day. Returns are in the listing currency and exclude dividends, so for dividend payers the real total return was somewhat higher.
This is not a recommendation to buy or sell. A company enters a basket as a beneficiary of the mechanism described in the thesis, and the full argument is on each thesis page.
See all of our theses
Each with a publication date, a causal map and a score assigned before the market ruled.
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