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Stocks ZION DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Zions Bancorporation, National Association worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Zions Bancorporation, National Association's reported free cash flow gives $54.36 per share. The share price was $66.32 on November 10, 2026, 22% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$952M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$895.6M
Cash
$727M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$2.42B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
147,157,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-25.0%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-10.0%-4.0%2.0%10.0%$30.30-54%
Base-5.0%-1.0%2.5%9.0%$54.36-18%
Bull0.0%1.5%3.0%8.0%$99.20+50%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$70.36$75.07$80.82$88.02$97.26
8.0%$58.55$61.61$65.22$69.55$74.84
9.0%$49.86$51.95$54.36$57.17$60.49
10.0%$43.18$44.67$46.35$48.27$50.49
11.0%$37.88$38.97$40.19$41.56$43.11

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Zions Bancorporation, National Association's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-25.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Zions Bancorporation, National Association company page