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Stocks XTNT DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Xtant Medical Holdings, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Xtant Medical Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $2.26 per share. The share price was $0.38 on September 25, 2026, 83% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$10.2M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
-$5.1M
Cash
$9.9M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$7.3M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
150,042,556
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
20.2%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$1.38+267%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$2.26+500%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$3.89+936%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$2.92$3.13$3.38$3.70$4.10
8.0%$2.42$2.56$2.71$2.90$3.14
9.0%$2.06$2.15$2.26$2.38$2.53
10.0%$1.78$1.85$1.92$2.01$2.10
11.0%$1.57$1.61$1.67$1.73$1.80

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Xtant Medical Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (20.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Xtant Medical Holdings, Inc. company page