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DCF valuation

What is Worthington Steel, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Worthington Steel, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $17.27 per share. The share price was $36.26 on September 25, 2026, 110% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$80M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$109.7M
Cash
$84.6M
balance sheet of May 31, 2026
Debt
$71.4M
balance sheet of May 31, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
50,800,000
Revenue growth per year, last 4 years
-4.1%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-9.0%-3.5%2.0%10.0%$11.02-70%
Base-4.0%-0.5%2.5%9.0%$17.27-52%
Bull1.0%2.0%3.0%8.0%$28.93-20%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$21.46$22.70$24.21$26.11$28.54
8.0%$18.36$19.17$20.12$21.26$22.65
9.0%$16.09$16.63$17.27$18.01$18.88
10.0%$14.34$14.73$15.17$15.68$16.26
11.0%$12.95$13.24$13.56$13.92$14.33

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Worthington Steel, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (-4.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Worthington Steel, Inc. company page