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DCF valuation

What is Worthington Steel, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Worthington Steel, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$11.55 per share. The share price was $39.65 on November 10, 2026, 443% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$80M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$109.7M
Cash
$248.2M
balance sheet of August 31, 2026
Debt
$1.7B
balance sheet of August 31, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
50,800,000
Revenue growth per year, last 4 years
-4.1%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-9.0%-3.5%2.0%10.0%-$17.80-145%
Base-4.0%-0.5%2.5%9.0%-$11.55-129%
Bull1.0%2.0%3.0%8.0%$0.11-100%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%-$7.35-$6.12-$4.60-$2.71-$0.28
8.0%-$10.45-$9.65-$8.70-$7.56-$6.17
9.0%-$12.73-$12.18-$11.55-$10.81-$9.94
10.0%-$14.48-$14.09-$13.65-$13.14-$12.56
11.0%-$15.87-$15.58-$15.26-$14.90-$14.49

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Worthington Steel, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (-4.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Worthington Steel, Inc. company page