What is Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $13.02 per share. The share price was $2.27 on September 25, 2026, 83% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.0% | 10.0% | $8.42 | +271% |
| Base | 5.0% | 9.0% | $13.02 | +474% |
| Bull | 10.0% | 8.0% | $21.63 | +853% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $16.32 | $17.32 | $18.55 | $20.08 | $22.05 |
| 8.0% | $13.86 | $14.51 | $15.28 | $16.21 | $17.33 |
| 9.0% | $12.07 | $12.51 | $13.02 | $13.62 | $14.33 |
| 10.0% | $10.70 | $11.01 | $11.37 | $11.78 | $12.25 |
| 11.0% | $9.62 | $9.85 | $10.11 | $10.40 | $10.73 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (4.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions