What is Willdan Group, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Willdan Group, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $126.63 per share. The share price was $67.20 on November 10, 2026, 47% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 7.0% | 10.0% | $77.97 | +16% |
| Base | 12.0% | 9.0% | $126.63 | +88% |
| Bull | 17.0% | 8.0% | $223.56 | +233% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $163.71 | $175.18 | $189.19 | $206.71 | $229.24 |
| 8.0% | $135.93 | $143.36 | $152.15 | $162.70 | $175.59 |
| 9.0% | $115.68 | $120.76 | $126.63 | $133.47 | $141.56 |
| 10.0% | $100.30 | $103.91 | $108.01 | $112.69 | $118.10 |
| 11.0% | $88.24 | $90.89 | $93.85 | $97.18 | $100.96 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Willdan Group, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (11.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions