What is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $29.00 per share. The share price was $30.86 on September 25, 2026, 6% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $13.18 | -57% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $29.00 | -6% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $58.47 | +89% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $40.98 | $44.72 | $49.28 | $54.99 | $62.33 |
| 8.0% | $31.98 | $34.40 | $37.27 | $40.70 | $44.90 |
| 9.0% | $25.43 | $27.09 | $29.00 | $31.23 | $33.87 |
| 10.0% | $20.47 | $21.65 | $22.98 | $24.51 | $26.27 |
| 11.0% | $16.58 | $17.45 | $18.41 | $19.50 | $20.73 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (28.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions