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DCF valuation

What is Verisk Analytics, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Verisk Analytics, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $139.98 per share. The share price was $169.21 on September 25, 2026, 21% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$1.19B
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$922.9M
Cash
$524.5M
balance sheet of March 31, 2026
Debt
$4.22B
balance sheet of March 31, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
140,082,773
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
6.2%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear1.0%1.5%2.0%10.0%$76.12-55%
Base6.0%4.5%2.5%9.0%$139.98-17%
Bull11.0%7.0%3.0%8.0%$259.19+53%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$185.95$199.99$217.14$238.58$266.14
8.0%$151.65$160.75$171.50$184.41$200.18
9.0%$126.57$132.80$139.98$148.35$158.25
10.0%$107.47$111.90$116.91$122.64$129.26
11.0%$92.45$95.70$99.32$103.40$108.02

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Verisk Analytics, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (6.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Verisk Analytics, Inc. company page