What is Vontier Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Vontier Corp's reported free cash flow gives $38.17 per share. The share price was $31.48 on September 25, 2026, 18% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -2.5% | 10.0% | $20.31 | -35% |
| Base | 2.5% | 9.0% | $38.17 | +21% |
| Bull | 7.5% | 8.0% | $72.95 | +132% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $50.73 | $54.51 | $59.14 | $64.93 | $72.37 |
| 8.0% | $41.39 | $43.85 | $46.75 | $50.24 | $54.49 |
| 9.0% | $34.55 | $36.23 | $38.17 | $40.43 | $43.10 |
| 10.0% | $29.33 | $30.53 | $31.88 | $33.43 | $35.21 |
| 11.0% | $25.21 | $26.09 | $27.07 | $28.17 | $29.42 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Vontier Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (2.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions