What is Vontier Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Vontier Corp's reported free cash flow gives $38.12 per share. The share price was $43.27 on November 10, 2026, 14% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -2.5% | 10.0% | $20.26 | -53% |
| Base | 2.5% | 9.0% | $38.12 | -12% |
| Bull | 7.5% | 8.0% | $72.90 | +68% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $50.67 | $54.46 | $59.09 | $64.88 | $72.32 |
| 8.0% | $41.34 | $43.80 | $46.70 | $50.18 | $54.44 |
| 9.0% | $34.50 | $36.18 | $38.12 | $40.38 | $43.05 |
| 10.0% | $29.28 | $30.47 | $31.83 | $33.37 | $35.16 |
| 11.0% | $25.16 | $26.04 | $27.02 | $28.12 | $29.36 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Vontier Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (2.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions