What is Valmont Industries Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Valmont Industries Inc's reported free cash flow gives $239.56 per share. The share price was $420.33 on November 10, 2026, 75% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.0% | 10.0% | $136.10 | -68% |
| Base | 4.0% | 9.0% | $239.56 | -43% |
| Bull | 9.0% | 8.0% | $432.77 | +3% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $313.12 | $335.45 | $362.73 | $396.84 | $440.69 |
| 8.0% | $258.33 | $272.81 | $289.92 | $310.45 | $335.54 |
| 9.0% | $218.24 | $228.14 | $239.56 | $252.89 | $268.64 |
| 10.0% | $187.67 | $194.70 | $202.68 | $211.80 | $222.32 |
| 11.0% | $163.59 | $168.75 | $174.51 | $181.00 | $188.36 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Valmont Industries Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (4.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions