What is Valaris Ltd worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Valaris Ltd's reported free cash flow gives $37.14 per share. The share price was $79.29 on November 10, 2026, 114% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -2.5% | 10.0% | $20.08 | -75% |
| Base | 2.5% | 9.0% | $37.14 | -53% |
| Bull | 7.5% | 8.0% | $70.36 | -11% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $49.13 | $52.75 | $57.17 | $62.70 | $69.81 |
| 8.0% | $40.21 | $42.56 | $45.33 | $48.66 | $52.73 |
| 9.0% | $33.68 | $35.29 | $37.14 | $39.30 | $41.85 |
| 10.0% | $28.69 | $29.83 | $31.13 | $32.60 | $34.31 |
| 11.0% | $24.76 | $25.59 | $26.53 | $27.58 | $28.77 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Valaris Ltd's revenue growth rate over the last 6 fiscal years (2.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions