What is Utz Brands, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Utz Brands, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$5.96 per share. The share price was $14.26 on November 10, 2026, 339% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 8.5% | 10.0% | -$7.19 | -150% |
| Base | 13.5% | 9.0% | -$5.96 | -142% |
| Bull | 18.5% | 8.0% | -$3.51 | -125% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | -$5.02 | -$4.72 | -$4.36 | -$3.92 | -$3.34 |
| 8.0% | -$5.72 | -$5.53 | -$5.31 | -$5.04 | -$4.71 |
| 9.0% | -$6.24 | -$6.11 | -$5.96 | -$5.78 | -$5.58 |
| 10.0% | -$6.63 | -$6.54 | -$6.43 | -$6.31 | -$6.18 |
| 11.0% | -$6.94 | -$6.87 | -$6.79 | -$6.71 | -$6.61 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Utz Brands, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (13.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions