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DCF valuation

What is Utah Medical Products Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Utah Medical Products Inc's reported free cash flow gives $80.73 per share. The share price was $74.18 on September 25, 2026, 8% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$14.3M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$18.3M
Cash
$87.5M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$195K
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
3,240,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-1.8%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-7.0%-2.5%2.0%10.0%$60.75-18%
Base-2.0%0.5%2.5%9.0%$80.73+9%
Bull3.0%3.0%3.0%8.0%$118.01+59%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$94.34$98.39$103.34$109.53$117.49
8.0%$84.26$86.89$90.00$93.72$98.28
9.0%$76.86$78.66$80.73$83.15$86.00
10.0%$71.19$72.46$73.91$75.57$77.48
11.0%$66.70$67.64$68.68$69.86$71.20

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Utah Medical Products Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-1.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Utah Medical Products Inc company page