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DCF valuation

What is Unity Software Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Unity Software Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $37.29 per share. The share price was $41.55 on September 25, 2026, 11% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$403.9M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$119.8M
Cash
$2.35B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
420,914,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
19.1%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$24.85-40%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$37.29-10%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$60.46+46%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$46.71$49.65$53.24$57.73$63.50
8.0%$39.64$41.54$43.79$46.49$49.80
9.0%$34.49$35.79$37.29$39.05$41.12
10.0%$30.59$31.51$32.56$33.76$35.14
11.0%$27.53$28.21$28.97$29.82$30.79

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Unity Software Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (19.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Unity Software Inc. company page