What is Textron Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Textron Inc's reported free cash flow gives $103.89 per share. The share price was $76.59 on September 25, 2026, 26% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.0% | 10.0% | $67.55 | -12% |
| Base | 5.0% | 9.0% | $103.89 | +36% |
| Bull | 10.0% | 8.0% | $171.74 | +124% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $129.89 | $137.81 | $147.48 | $159.57 | $175.12 |
| 8.0% | $110.51 | $115.64 | $121.70 | $128.98 | $137.88 |
| 9.0% | $96.33 | $99.84 | $103.89 | $108.61 | $114.20 |
| 10.0% | $85.53 | $88.02 | $90.85 | $94.08 | $97.81 |
| 11.0% | $77.02 | $78.85 | $80.90 | $83.20 | $85.80 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Textron Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions