Invesaro

Stocks TTWO DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Take Two Interactive Software Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Take Two Interactive Software Inc's reported free cash flow gives $75.85 per share. The share price was $224.64 on November 10, 2026, 196% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$461.5M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
-$2.9M
Cash
$1.15B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$1.89B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
183,900,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
14.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear9.5%6.0%2.0%10.0%$45.33-80%
Base14.5%8.5%2.5%9.0%$75.85-66%
Bull19.5%11.5%3.0%8.0%$136.63-39%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$99.44$106.79$115.76$126.99$141.41
8.0%$81.73$86.49$92.12$98.87$107.13
9.0%$68.83$72.09$75.85$80.23$85.41
10.0%$59.05$61.37$63.99$66.99$70.45
11.0%$51.39$53.09$54.99$57.12$59.54

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Take Two Interactive Software Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (14.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Take Two Interactive Software Inc company page