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Stocks TSQ DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Townsquare Media, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Townsquare Media, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$11.56 per share. The share price was $4.98 on September 25, 2026, 143% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$15.4M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$36.5M
Cash
$1.2M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$440M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
16,184,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
2.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-2.0%-0.0%2.0%10.0%-$17.47-451%
Base3.0%3.0%2.5%9.0%-$11.56-332%
Bull8.0%5.5%3.0%8.0%-$0.52-110%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%-$7.38-$6.12-$4.57-$2.64-$0.16
8.0%-$10.49-$9.67-$8.70-$7.54-$6.12
9.0%-$12.76-$12.20-$11.56-$10.80-$9.91
10.0%-$14.50-$14.10-$13.65-$13.13-$12.54
11.0%-$15.87-$15.57-$15.25-$14.88-$14.47

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Townsquare Media, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (2.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Townsquare Media, Inc. company page