What is Tyson Foods, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Tyson Foods, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $38.16 per share. The share price was $50.92 on September 25, 2026, 33% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -0.5% | 10.0% | $15.85 | -69% |
| Base | 4.5% | 9.0% | $38.16 | -25% |
| Bull | 9.5% | 8.0% | $81.62 | +60% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $54.06 | $58.89 | $64.78 | $72.16 | $81.64 |
| 8.0% | $42.22 | $45.35 | $49.05 | $53.49 | $58.91 |
| 9.0% | $33.56 | $35.70 | $38.16 | $41.04 | $44.45 |
| 10.0% | $26.95 | $28.47 | $30.19 | $32.16 | $34.44 |
| 11.0% | $21.75 | $22.86 | $24.11 | $25.51 | $27.10 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Tyson Foods, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions