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DCF valuation

What is Transcat Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Transcat Inc's reported free cash flow gives $53.16 per share. The share price was $106.61 on November 10, 2026, 101% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$19.6M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$15.9M
Cash
$5.8M
balance sheet of September 26, 2026
Debt
$116.9M
balance sheet of September 26, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
9,380,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
13.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear9.0%5.5%2.0%10.0%$27.70-74%
Base14.0%8.5%2.5%9.0%$53.16-50%
Bull19.0%11.0%3.0%8.0%$100.59-6%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$72.34$78.31$85.61$94.72$106.45
8.0%$57.94$61.81$66.39$71.88$78.59
9.0%$47.46$50.11$53.16$56.72$60.93
10.0%$39.51$41.39$43.53$45.96$48.78
11.0%$33.29$34.67$36.21$37.94$39.91

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Transcat Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (13.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Transcat Inc company page