What is Transcat Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Transcat Inc's reported free cash flow gives $53.96 per share. The share price was $87.73 on September 25, 2026, 63% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 9.0% | 10.0% | $28.49 | -68% |
| Base | 14.0% | 9.0% | $53.96 | -38% |
| Bull | 19.0% | 8.0% | $101.39 | +16% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $73.14 | $79.11 | $86.40 | $95.52 | $107.24 |
| 8.0% | $58.74 | $62.61 | $67.18 | $72.67 | $79.38 |
| 9.0% | $48.26 | $50.90 | $53.96 | $57.52 | $61.73 |
| 10.0% | $40.31 | $42.19 | $44.32 | $46.76 | $49.57 |
| 11.0% | $34.08 | $35.46 | $37.00 | $38.74 | $40.70 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Transcat Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (13.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions